一家造纸厂的生产污染使附近居民的健康和生活受到影响，这是有违( )的行为。

敏感性训练(sensitivity training)

Sensitivity analysis can be used in risk analysis to:

A Substitute for uncertainty analysis in risk quantification

B estimate the level of risk aversion adopted by management

C estimate the effect of change of one project variable on the overall project

D A and B

E All of the above.

A、Sensitivity analysis Simulation

B、Scenario analysis Simulation

C、Scenario analysis Sensitivity analysis

(c) Using sensitivity analysis, estimate by what percentage the life cycle of the Snowballer would need to change

before the recommendation in (a) above is varied. (4 marks)

A、Establish probability and influence matrix

B、Decision tree analysis

C、Sensitivity analysis

D、Modeling and simulation

(ii) Briefly explain the extent to which the application of sensitivity analysis might be useful in deciding

which refrigeration system to purchase and discuss the limitations inherent in its use. (3 marks)

(b) Using sensitivity analysis, estimate by what percentage each of the under-mentioned items, taken separately,

would need to change before the recommendation in (a) above is varied:

(i) Initial outlay;

(ii) Annual contribution. (4 marks)

A.The affects of variables within the project are well understood

B.It allows for independent answers

C.Management understands that there is a range of possible outcomes

D.It provides insight into the project that the PM may be lacking

E.A & C